top of page

IMMEDIATELY!! Right now I need you to Google the 3.5% Rule!!

The 3.5% rule comes from a study by political scientist Erica Chenoweth, who found that nonviolent movements that actively engaged at least 3.5% of a population were almost always successful in achieving their goals.



📚 What It Means:

If just 3.5% of a country’s population participates in sustained nonviolent protest, the movement is very likely to force major change—such as regime change, policy shifts, or leadership resignations.



📊 Example in the U.S.:

  • The U.S. population is about 330 million.

  • 3.5% of that = 11.55 million people.

  • So if around 11.5 million Americans protest peacefully and consistently, history shows it’s nearly impossible for the government to ignore or suppress the movement without major consequences.




🧠 Why It Works:

  • That small percentage represents a critical mass—enough to disrupt systems through strikes, sit-ins, and public pressure.

  • Nonviolence draws broader support and legitimacy.

  • Repression backfires when cameras are rolling and protestors stay peaceful.




🌍 Historical Examples:

  • Serbia (2000) – Overthrew Milosevic.

  • Philippines (1986) – Ended Marcos dictatorship.

  • Sudan (2019) – Ousted President Omar al-Bashir.




⚠️ So if 7.2 million Americans really protested yesterday?



That’s only about 2.2% of the U.S. population—not quite the 3.5%, but getting close. Sustained action at this scale could tip things fast.


コメント


bottom of page